Hungarian central bank (NBH) rate-setters raised the base rate by 100 basis points to 10.75% at a regular policy meeting on Tuesday.
The NBH Monetary Council had raised the base rate by 200 basis points to 9.75% just two weeks earlier, taking the extraordinary measure at a non-rate-setting meeting to keep the key rate in tandem with the one-week deposit rate. The Council also decided on Tuesday to raise the O/N deposit rate by 100 basis points to 10.25% and the O/N and one-week collateralised loan rates by 100 basis points to 13.25%. The O/N deposit rate and the collateralised loan rate mark the bottom and the top, respectively, of the central bank鈥檚 鈥渋nterest rate corridor鈥. The base rate is paid on mandatory reserves. 鈥淭he further rise in inflation and persistent inflation risks warrant the decisive continuation of the tightening cycle,鈥 the Council said in a statement released after the meeting. 鈥淭he [NBH] continuously monitors developments in financial market risks as well and stands ready to intervene in a decisive manner using every instrument in its monetary policy toolkit, if necessary,鈥 the policy makers added. The Council reiterated that the tightening cycle will continue 鈥渦ntil the outlook for inflation stabilises around the central bank target in a sustainable manner and inflation risks become evenly balanced on the horizon of monetary policy鈥. At a press conference after the meeting, NBH deputy governor Barnab谩s Vir谩g said FX swap tenders providing euro liquidity the NBH launched on a daily basis from July 8 to improve monetary policy transmission have been effective, pointing to a 鈥渟ignificant鈥 increase in FX swap yields. Commenting on June inflation 鈥 which reached 11.7% year-on-year 鈥 Vir谩g said repricing during the month was 鈥渁 multiple鈥 of normal levels and noted the impact on headline CPI of food prices. He added that the recent government decision to charge households a market price for above average energy consumption would lift the path of inflation until the measure falls out of the base in a year.
He estimated second-quarter GDP growth reached 6.0%, but pointed to a 鈥渃lear slowdown鈥 from June, while noting rising risks of recession in the global economy. Vir谩g said achieving the inflation target is the central bank鈥檚 鈥減riority鈥, adding that anchoring inflation expectations is of 鈥渒ey importance鈥. In the current environment, coordinating fiscal and monetary policy is 鈥渆specially important鈥, he said, adding that improvement in the fiscal and current-account balances strengthens the effectiveness of monetary policy.
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